Liquidity review - Jul 2021

DPI

Previous research in June is here:

In the discussions on MVI July LM campaign I commented:

Exchange issuance
For DPI, Exchange issue uses ~1,800 k gas, so 50 gwei would be 0.09 ETH, ~$180 at $2,000 ETH.

Uniswap v2 swaps are ~ 100k gas, so ~$11 at 50 gwei and $2,000 ETH. So exchange issuance costs ~ $169 more than a simple swap.


My understanding is that the available value in an arbitrage = 50% of the premium to NAV * the trade size required to being the price back to NAV. So for DPI on v2:

** $18,000 at 1% premium ~ $90 MEV*
** $36,000 at 1% premium ~ $180 MEV*
** $18,000 at 2% premium ~ $180 MEV*
** $36,000 at 2% premium ~ $360 MEV*

So exchange issue arbitrage should become profitable when there is > 2% premium to NAV and the liquidity needs > $18,000 to impact the price by 2%

*Likewise, a 1% premium to NAV, and liquidity deep enough to need > $36,000 trade to give 1% price impact should allow profitable arbitrage.


Onchain Liquidity
There are at least 5 on chain DEX liquidity pools that contain DPI and ETH:

  • Uniswap v2
  • Sushiswap
  • Balancer v1 (With USDC and wBTC)
  • Balancer v2 (with wBTC)
  • Uniswap v3

Figure 1 shows the AUM in each pool (Balancer v3 since 19Jul21)

image

Current DPI:ETH trade sizes required to produce a 1% price impact:

Uniswap v2 Sushiswap Balancer V3 buy V3 Sell
$134,538 $18,406 $17,571 $27,859 $63,900

(note these are all collected by manually checking the trade size required to produce a 1% price impact using the different protocol trade UI’s the Balancer UI could be using either pool. However, I think it’s using v2 as it’s the larger pool).

Figure 2 presents the on chain pool depth to produce a 1% price impact for each pool;
image

Note, I don’t have balancer or uni v3 historical data due to the complexities of the UI / liquidity.

Combined the pools have been allowing> $150,000 trades without impacting the price by 1%. This implies that if using a DEX aggregator, very large trades can be made without significant price impact.

Trade volume:
Combined the 5 pools have averaged $2.4 m daily volume with significant variation:
image

Univ 2 normally dominates the trade volume, however, there have been times when both v3 and Sushiswap have taken a large % (Figure 3):
image

Capital efficiency
As expected, the v3 pool with the ability to concentrate liquidity can achieve larger trade volume to AUM ratios (Figure4)

image

Figure 5, On average v3 is capturing 28% of the trade volume on v2 (with 5% of the AUM ~ 5.6 fold increase in capital efficiency):
image

LP income
Comparison of the fees and staking rewards for the different pools:

Uniswap v2 Sushiswap Balancer v2 (3 tokens) v3
Average volume to AUM 4% 6% 2% 24%
Free to LP 0.30% 0.25% 0.50% 0.30%
Annualised Fee 4.7% 5.2% 3.4% 26.2%
LM rewards (27jul21) 9.7% 11.3% 18.5% 0.0%
Average total fee 14.4% 16.5% 21.9% 26.2%

Note, This analysis does not include pools available to some aggregators. Multiple Stable coin: DPI pools available for large trades. Figure 6 shows a large (800 dpi → 102 eth) trade with would allocate 20% of the total value to the Uniswap v2 pool:


Competitors

Comparison 22nd July 2021:

Main chain AUM ($ M) Liquidity ($ M) Volume ($m)
DPI $115.90 $42.64 $2.56
BDI $11.60 $16.80 $0.16
DeFI 5 $8.20 $4.40 $0.61
DEGEN $6.00 $1.60 $0.18
CC 10 $3.20 $1.80 $0.08

Overall DPI:

  • Dominates AUM at 10x our nearest competitor and 4x all other DeFi products.
  • Uniswap v2 pool is double the nearest competitor and >10x the others.
  • Has 2.5 x the volume of the other for funds put together.

Liquidity mining

IIP-53 allocated 12,578 INDEX to a 30 day campaign between 13 July and 12th August. At $25 this is $315 k or $10,481 per day.

This is entirely focused on the Uni v2 pool which contains 14% of total units issued ( ~$17 m).


What next for DPI:ETH liquidity?

There are a number of options:

  1. Maintain similar incentives on v2 to ensure we dominate DBI in terms of liquidity
  2. Reduce v2 LM and allow the pool to shrink and the other pools take more volume.
  3. Stop v2 LM and use the v3 staking contract to encourage migration to v3 (See discussion here)
  4. Stop rewards for DPI:ETH entirely.
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